Temple watch.

A dated record of preparations for a Third Temple in Jerusalem (the red heifer, the Temple Mount and the attempts at sacrifice) and of what was predicted about them. Each entry gives its sources and says how firm they are.

Happened 9Planned 1Reports differ 1Did not happen 1
2015

Temple Institute starts a red heifer breeding project

The Temple Institute began implanting frozen Red Angus embryos to raise a red heifer in Israel.

Happened
September 2022

Five red heifers arrive from Texas

Five red heifers raised in Texas were brought to Israel through the Boneh Israel organisation.

Happened
7 October 2023; 14 January 2024

Hamas leaders cite the "red cows"

Hamas leaders named the red heifers among their stated grievances over al-Aqsa.

Happened
April 2024

A red heifer ceremony expected at Passover 2024

Online commentary expected a red heifer ceremony on the Mount of Olives at Passover 2024; none took place.

Did not happen
1 July 2025

A practice burning of a red heifer

A heifer, reported to be unfit, was burned on a hilltop in northern Israel as a rehearsal for a future ceremony on the Mount of Olives.

Happened
2025-2026

How many of the Texas heifers remain fit

Reports differ: two of the heifers disqualified and two still fit, or all disqualified.

Reports differ
May-June 2026

A red calf, "Tamima", born in the Galilee

A red calf reported born on a Galilee farm was ruled unfit for the rite because of an ear-tag blemish (a single blog report).

Happened
late 2025 to 2026

Jewish prayer permitted on the Temple Mount

Police began allowing Jewish prayer on the Temple Mount under conditions, including printed prayer sheets; officials say the status quo is unchanged.

Happened
31 March 2026

An attempted Passover sacrifice on the Temple Mount

Men filmed trying to bring goats to the compound for a Passover sacrifice were reportedly arrested before they reached it.

Happened
no date set

A red heifer ceremony on the Mount of Olives

The stated aim is a ceremony on the Mount of Olives with a fully qualified heifer; no date has been announced.

Planned
July 2026

A second red calf born in the Golan Heights

A red calf born in the Golan Heights before Tisha B'Av was left untagged; her fitness is under rabbinic review because she is a twin of a bull calf.

Happened
27 Sept to early Oct 2026

Record Jewish visits and open prayer on the Temple Mount at Sukkot

About a thousand visitors on the first intermediate day and a reported record over the holiday, with open prayer; the government says the status quo is unchanged.

Happened
← All entries

Jewish prayer permitted on the Temple Mount

StatusHappened

The Christian case

Jesus said that "Jerusalem shall be trodden down of the Gentiles, until the times of the Gentiles be fulfilled" (). Futurist interpreters have long noted that, even after 1967, the Temple Mount stayed under the Islamic Waqf's administration with Jewish prayer barred. A change allowing Jewish prayer there is, for them, a development worth watching closely, both for Jerusalem's place in prophecy and for the question of a future Temple.

What the research found

Happened. The Jerusalem Post reported on 13 February 2026 that police "have begun allowing Jewish prayer on the site under certain conditions", which the paper called "the most significant shift to the status quo since 1967". Police approved prayer sheets "limited to specific areas defined by the police". Yisrael Medad said: "Now people can prostrate themselves and the police let them pray, sometimes for up to five minutes." But "Israeli officials deny that there has been a major change to the status quo." Haaretz (5 January 2026) reported Netanyahu backing the change while denying a breach of the status quo. Later reports say prayer books were first allowed in August 2026.

Explore the counterarguments

This is a political and administrative change made by the Israeli authorities, so it is brought about by people, not an independent sign. Officials themselves say the status quo is unchanged, and no formal transfer of the site's administration has been found. Preterist interpreters read as describing what began in 70 CE, not a modern turning point.

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