Temple watch.

A dated record of preparations for a Third Temple in Jerusalem (the red heifer, the Temple Mount and the attempts at sacrifice) and of what was predicted about them. Each entry gives its sources and says how firm they are.

Happened 9Planned 1Reports differ 1Did not happen 1
2015

Temple Institute starts a red heifer breeding project

The Temple Institute began implanting frozen Red Angus embryos to raise a red heifer in Israel.

Happened
September 2022

Five red heifers arrive from Texas

Five red heifers raised in Texas were brought to Israel through the Boneh Israel organisation.

Happened
7 October 2023; 14 January 2024

Hamas leaders cite the "red cows"

Hamas leaders named the red heifers among their stated grievances over al-Aqsa.

Happened
April 2024

A red heifer ceremony expected at Passover 2024

Online commentary expected a red heifer ceremony on the Mount of Olives at Passover 2024; none took place.

Did not happen
1 July 2025

A practice burning of a red heifer

A heifer, reported to be unfit, was burned on a hilltop in northern Israel as a rehearsal for a future ceremony on the Mount of Olives.

Happened
2025-2026

How many of the Texas heifers remain fit

Reports differ: two of the heifers disqualified and two still fit, or all disqualified.

Reports differ
May-June 2026

A red calf, "Tamima", born in the Galilee

A red calf reported born on a Galilee farm was ruled unfit for the rite because of an ear-tag blemish (a single blog report).

Happened
late 2025 to 2026

Jewish prayer permitted on the Temple Mount

Police began allowing Jewish prayer on the Temple Mount under conditions, including printed prayer sheets; officials say the status quo is unchanged.

Happened
31 March 2026

An attempted Passover sacrifice on the Temple Mount

Men filmed trying to bring goats to the compound for a Passover sacrifice were reportedly arrested before they reached it.

Happened
no date set

A red heifer ceremony on the Mount of Olives

The stated aim is a ceremony on the Mount of Olives with a fully qualified heifer; no date has been announced.

Planned
July 2026

A second red calf born in the Golan Heights

A red calf born in the Golan Heights before Tisha B'Av was left untagged; her fitness is under rabbinic review because she is a twin of a bull calf.

Happened
27 Sept to early Oct 2026

Record Jewish visits and open prayer on the Temple Mount at Sukkot

About a thousand visitors on the first intermediate day and a reported record over the holiday, with open prayer; the government says the status quo is unchanged.

Happened
← All entries

Hamas leaders cite the "red cows"

StatusHappened

The Christian case

Christians who watch the Temple question note that the red heifers are not a private religious concern of a few groups. They have been named in public by Hamas leaders as one of their grievances over al-Aqsa. The preparations for a Temple matter far beyond the groups carrying them out, which fits the central place the prophets give to Jerusalem.

What the research found

Happened (the statements). In the 7 October 2023 announcement of what Hamas called the "al-Aqsa Flood", Muhammad Deif said: "The occupiers have brought their red cows to sacrifice them and sprinkle their ashes mixed with water" (in a translation published by the Oasis Center). A speech by Abu Obeida on about 14 January 2024, the 100th day of the war, again cited the red cows, as several outlets reported. This entry records what the speakers said.

Explore the counterarguments

Whether the heifers were a real motive or a piece of rhetoric cannot be settled from the statements themselves, so the entry records only that they were made. Nothing in these statements fulfils a prophecy. They show that the heifers have become politically charged, which is a fact about the present conflict, not evidence for any particular reading of the prophetic texts.

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